Reason probabilistically
- Apply the rules of probability.
- Work with common distributions.
- Update beliefs using conditional probability and Bayes' theorem.
Module 4 · 3 units · 25 tutorials · Weeks 9–11
Probability, sampling, inference and the reasoning behind statistical claims. How to move from describing what you observed to reasoning about what it means.
Module overview
Module 4 introduces the statistical reasoning that separates descriptive analysis from inference. You learn how probability models uncertainty, how sampling allows conclusions about populations, and how hypothesis testing provides a framework for evidence.
The module closes with regression treated as a statistical technique for describing relationships — not as a machine learning method. Predictive modelling is introduced in COMP328.
This is statistical regression for inference and description. Machine learning regression is deliberately deferred to COMP328.
Learning outcomes
Units
Events, distributions and conditional probability.
Sampling, confidence intervals and hypothesis testing.
Correlation, linear trends and statistical model interpretation.